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Turns out the numbers were right in front of me and I could have diagnosed the problem. In the modem admin interface there is a Cable > Signal area with the following information:
Downstream:
Signal to Noise Ratio 40.3 dB
Power Level -2.7 dBmV
Upstream:
Power Level 52.5 dBmV
Right now the values are OK. Depending on your modem model and who you listen to here are some guides for what 'ok' values are:
Downstream:
S/N > 30 dB
Power Level -7 to 7 dBmV (mine was -12 when the problems were happening)
Upstream:
Power Level < 55 dBmV
I can't find this information in the manual for my modem but hopefully if you're having similar problems you can find the numbers more specific for your modem in your manual or by searching.